EMÜ656 - STOCHASTIC MODELS

Course Name Code Semester Theory
(hours/week)
Application
(hours/week)
Credit ECTS
STOCHASTIC MODELS EMÜ656 Any Semester/Year 3 0 3 10
Prequisites
Course languageTurkish
Course typeElective 
Mode of DeliveryFace-to-Face 
Learning and teaching strategiesLecture
Question and Answer
Problem Solving
Other: Lecture, question and answer, problem solving, individual work.  
Instructor (s)To be determined by the department  
Course objectiveDevelop students? skills to model uncertainty in processes and systems 
Learning outcomes
  1. Describe and implement the fundamental features of a Poisson process
  2. Model systems with general inter-arrival times as renewal process
  3. Implement the Key Renewal Theorem in renewal process
  4. Model systems with Markov property as Markov chains
  5. Implement Chapman-Kolmogrov equations and solve Kolmogrov differential equations to compute transient characteristics in Markov chains
  6. Compute and interpret the steady-state characteristics in Markov chains
  7. Model processes and system as Brownian motion and random walk
  8. Describe the fundamental characteristics of Semi-Markov processes
Course ContentPoisson process
Renewal theory
Discrete and continuous time Markov Chains
Brownian motion
Random walk model 
ReferencesRoss, M.S. (1996) Stochastic Processes, 2nd ed., John Wiley and Sons.
Tijms, H. C. (2003) A First Course in Stochastic Models, Wiley.
Taylor, H.M and Karlin, S. (1998) An Introduction to Stochastic Modeling, 3rd ed., Academic Press.
Ross, M.S. (1993) Introduction to Probability Models, 5th ed., Academic Press.
Winston, W.L. (2004) Operations Research Applications and Algorithms, 4th ed., Thomson/Brooks/Cole.
Up-to-date research articles about stochastic models 

Course outline weekly

WeeksTopics
Week 1Poisson Process
Week 2Poisson Process
Week 3Renewal Processes
Week 4Renewal Processes
Week 5Renewal Processes
Week 6Renewal Processes
Week 7Markov Chains
Week 8Markov Chains
Week 9Midterm Exam
Week 10Markov Chains
Week 11Brownian Motion
Week 12Brownian Motion
Week 13Semi-Markov Processes
Week 14Random Walk
Week 15Study for the Final Exam
Week 16Final Exam

Assesment methods

Course activitiesNumberPercentage
Attendance00
Laboratory00
Application00
Field activities00
Specific practical training00
Assignments515
Presentation00
Project115
Seminar00
Midterms120
Final exam150
Total100
Percentage of semester activities contributing grade succes750
Percentage of final exam contributing grade succes150
Total100

WORKLOAD AND ECTS CALCULATION

Activities Number Duration (hour) Total Work Load
Course Duration (x14) 14 3 42
Laboratory 0 0 0
Application000
Specific practical training000
Field activities000
Study Hours Out of Class (Preliminary work, reinforcement, ect)13791
Presentation / Seminar Preparation000
Project13535
Homework assignment51680
Midterms (Study duration)12020
Final Exam (Study duration) 13232
Total Workload35113300

Matrix Of The Course Learning Outcomes Versus Program Outcomes

D.9. Key Learning OutcomesContrubition level*
12345
1. Reach the necessary knowledge and methods in engineering within the scope of advanced industrial engineering studies through scientific research and evaluate knowledge and methods and implement them.    X 
2. Implement advanced analytical methods and modeling techniques to design processes, products and systems in an innovative and original way and improve them    X
3. Have the competency to plan, manage and monitor processes, products and systems.  X  
4. Evaluate the data obtained from analysis of the processes, products and systems, complete limited or missing data through scientific methods, develop data driven solution approaches.    X
5. Develop original methods for the efficient integration of the scarce resources such as man, machine, and material, energy, capital and time to the systems and implement these.    X
6. Effectively utilize computer programming languages, computer software, information and communication technology to solve problems in the field of industrial engineering.   X 
7. Report and present advanced studies, outcomes/results and the evaluations on the design, analysis, planning, monitoring and improvement of processes, products and systems.   X 
8. Are aware of the professional responsibility, describe the technological, economic and environmental effects of the industrial engineering applications, work as an individual independently and as a team member having an understanding of the scientific ethical values, take responsibility and lead the team.   X 
9. Are aware of the up-to-date engineering applications, follow the necessary literature for advanced researches, have the competency to reach knowledge in a foreign language, to quote and implement them.   X 

*1 Lowest, 2 Low, 3 Average, 4 High, 5 Highest