ÃœYS644 - DECISION THEORY

Course Name Code Semester Theory
(hours/week)
Application
(hours/week)
Credit ECTS
DECISION THEORY ÃœYS644 2nd Semester 3 0 3 6
Prequisites
Course languageTurkish
Course typeElective 
Mode of DeliveryFace-to-Face 
Learning and teaching strategiesLecture
 
Instructor (s)Prof.Dr. Aydın ULUCAN 
Course objectiveThe course aims to give the student the basic theoretical and practical knowledge to develop computer aided decision making models and apply these models to the main areas of business such as production, finance and marketing.  
Learning outcomes
  1. An average student; - is able to develop a computer-aided decision making models
  2. - is able to apply decision making models in management of production, finance and marketing functions of businesses
Course ContentBasic Concepts in Decision Science, Decision Making Under Uncertainty,Decision Trees, Multi Objective Decision Making, Analytic Hierarchy Process, Electre Method, Topsis Method, Goal Programming, UTADIS Method 
References- Winston, W. Operations Research : Applications and Algorithms , fourth edition (2004) 4th ed. Thomson / Brooks-Cole., ISBN 0-534-42362-0.
- Lawrence, J.A., B.A. Pasternack, Applied Management Science (2002) 2nd ed. Wiley, ISBN 0-471-39190-5.
- Ragsdale, C.T., Spreadsheet Modeling and Decision Analysis (2004) 4th ed. Thomson / South-Western., ISBN 0-324-20305-5.
- Moore, Weatherford,Decision Modeling, (2001) 6th ed. Prentice Hall., ISBN 0-13-017789-X.
- Winston, Albright, Practical Management Science, (2001) 2nd ed. Duxbury, ISBN 0-534-37135-3.
 

Course outline weekly

WeeksTopics
Week 1Introduction to Decision Theory
Week 2Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty
Week 3Decision Trees
Week 4Bayesian Statistics
Week 5Utility Theory
Week 6Multi-Criteria Decision Making
Week 7Mid-term Exam
Week 8Analytic Hierarchy Process
Week 9ELECTRE Technique
Week 10PROMETHEE Technique
Week 11UTADIS Technique
Week 12Project Presentations
Week 13Project Presentations
Week 14Project Presentations
Week 15Project Presentations
Week 16Final Exam

Assesment methods

Course activitiesNumberPercentage
Attendance145
Laboratory00
Application00
Field activities00
Specific practical training00
Assignments00
Presentation00
Project220
Seminar00
Midterms125
Final exam150
Total100
Percentage of semester activities contributing grade succes1750
Percentage of final exam contributing grade succes150
Total100

WORKLOAD AND ECTS CALCULATION

Activities Number Duration (hour) Total Work Load
Course Duration (x14) 14 3 42
Laboratory 0 0 0
Application000
Specific practical training000
Field activities000
Study Hours Out of Class (Preliminary work, reinforcement, ect)14684
Presentation / Seminar Preparation000
Project2816
Homework assignment000
Midterms (Study duration)11515
Final Exam (Study duration) 12020
Total Workload3252177

Matrix Of The Course Learning Outcomes Versus Program Outcomes

D.9. Key Learning OutcomesContrubition level*
12345
1. The student is able to conduct novel research on all fundamental functions of the business in accordance with scientific, institutional and social ethics and is able to report the results in a critical manner.  X  
2. The student gains ability to solve the problems faced in business using the appropriate software and the easily adapts to the new solution methods and software.   X 
3. The student gains the management and leadership skills to determine the problems with a critical point of view and to identify the objectives and strategic plans for the organization?s future progress.   X 
4. The student plays an active role in national and international projects, analyses the relationship between the stakeholders of the project accurately and motivates and manages all the stakeholders through effective language skills.    X
5. The student gains the necessary communication skills to manage both oral and written communication of the organization with all the stakeholders.    X
6. The student is able to analyse and use all the contemporary and advanced knowledge gained on all areas of business in relation with the information from different areas.   X 
7. The student progresses continuously with the consicious that learning and research is a continuous process and transfers the experience both written and oral ways.   X 
8. Through the anticipation and strategic thinking ability, the student plays an active role in organizational decision making process.  X  
9. The student uses all the multi-disciplinary knowledge acquired consistent with the ethical, social and international values.   X 
10. The student gains theoric and practical expertise on the multi-disciplinary natüre of the business management.    X
11. The student approaches the problems face in the business with a strategic and wide perspective and sees such problems as an opportunity for continuous development.   X 
12. The student shares the novel studies with a search for development and follows the contemporary progress in the area together with contacting the colleagues in the related areas.   X 

*1 Lowest, 2 Low, 3 Average, 4 High, 5 Highest